XAU/USD traded higher on Friday, after it hit support near the uptrend line drawn from the low of the 14th of November on Thursday. Since the 28th of December, the precious metal has been trading in a sideways mode between 1276 and 1297, and thus we would consider the short-term picture to be neutral for now. That said, bearing in mind that the price holds on above the aforementioned upside line, we see the case for some further recovery for now, at least towards the upper bound of the range.
At the time of writing, the metal trades slightly below the 1287 resistance zone, the break of which may pave the way towards the 1295 level, or the upper end of the recent short-term sideways range, at around 1297. However, a clear and decisive break above that hurdle is needed before we get more confident on the resumption of the prevailing uptrend. Such a move may encourage the bulls to put the 1308 territory on their radars. That zone acted as a good resistance on the 25th of May and the 14th of June.
Taking a look at our short-term momentum studies, we see that the RSI emerged slightly above 50 and turned somewhat down again, but still stays above its respective upside support line. The MACD, although negative, lies above its trigger line and looks to be heading towards zero. It could obtain a positive sign soon. These indicators support somewhat the notion for some more recovery in the yellow metal, at least towards the upper bound of the abovementioned sideways path.
On the downside, we would like to see a clear dip below 1276, the lower end of the range, before we start examining whether the bears have gained the upper hand, at least in the short run. Such a break could also confirm the break of the uptrend line taken from the low of the 14th of November and may initially pave the way for the 1266 support obstacle. Another move lower, below 1266, may extend the slide towards our next potential area of support, at around 1259, defined by an intraday low formed on the 24th of December.
The content we produce does not constitute investment advice or investment recommendation (should not be considered as such) and does not in any way constitute an invitation to acquire any financial instrument or product. JFD Group, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees are not liable for any damages that may be caused by individual comments or statements by JFD Group analysts and assumes no liability with respect to the completeness and correctness of the content presented. The investor is solely responsible for the risk of his investment decisions. Accordingly, you should seek, if you consider appropriate, relevant independent professional advice on the investment considered. The analyses and comments presented do not include any consideration of your personal investment objectives, financial circumstances or needs. The content has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements for financial analyses and must therefore be viewed by the reader as marketing information. JFD Group prohibits the duplication or publication without explicit approval.
68% of the retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Please read the full .
Copyright 2019 JFD Group Ltd.
Copyright 2019 JFD Group Ltd.